Track record
Every call. Wins and misses.
Each prediction is timestamped before kick-off and graded after the final whistle. Nothing is deleted. Updated – UK.
Small sample so far: judge us after 100+ calls, not 20. One bad night can swing any of these numbers.
Day by day
Calls right–wrong per day, last two weeks.
Are the chances honest?
If Likeli says 70%, it should happen about 7 times in 10. Here's the chance we gave for each confidence level, and how often it actually happened.
Likeli against the alternatives
Every opinion is logged before kick-off and scored after the match, including two models that never look at bookmakers' prices.
Every call
| Kick-off | Match | Likeli's call | Chance | Confidence | Score | Result | Posted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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The call is the most likely result over 90 minutes. "Posted" is when it was logged (UK time), always before kick-off.